Dutch election promises to be a nail-biter, final polls predict

Dutch Election Predictions

The Dutch election is expected to be a close call, with final polls indicating a tight race.

With one day left before the Netherlands elects a new parliament, three parties are predicted to win 23 seats each: Geert Wilders' far-right Freedom Party (PVV), Frans Timmermans' left-wing GreenLeft-Labor (GL-PvdA), and Rob Jetten's liberal D66.

The country is returning to the ballot box to choose a new parliament after the government collapsed in June, and the outcome is still uncertain.

The last Ipsos I&O poll before the election shows that undecided voters may play a decisive role, as the numbers reveal highly volatile voter support.

A majority requires 76 seats, making the election outcome difficult to predict.

The winner is anyone’s guess.

Author's summary: Dutch election is highly unpredictable.

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Politico Europe Politico Europe — 2025-10-28

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