Met Office 10-day Trend: Mild November Continues Amid Approaching Unsettled Weather
In early November, the UK is enjoying a notably mild period with temperatures significantly above seasonal averages. However, the Met Office's latest 10-day outlook indicates that this calm and warm weather will soon shift to more unsettled and variable conditions as the new working week begins.
Jet Stream Influences Weather Patterns
The current weather is shaped by a highly wavy jet stream over the Atlantic, creating a series of dips and troughs, one of which extends towards Iberia. This trough is expected to deepen in the coming days, keeping low pressure anchored to the south and moving it closer to the UK by the weekend.
Later in the weekend, another dip in the jet stream will form a broader trough further out in the Atlantic. This weakening and fluctuating jet stream is crucial in producing the slow-moving weather patterns expected next week, as low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east of the UK compete.
Unseasonably Warm Temperatures
One standout feature of this period is the unusually mild temperatures. On Thursday, highs are forecast to reach the mid to high teens Celsius, with some areas seeing 15 to 17°C—around six or seven degrees above the typical temperatures for this time of year.
Bonfire Night 2025 was record-breaking. Temperatures overnight only dropped to 14°C.
This combination of mild temperatures and shifting pressure systems hints at a more changeable pattern ahead.
Summary: The UK is experiencing an unusually warm early November, but a wavy jet stream is ushering in unsettled weather, marking a shift from mild to more variable conditions next week.
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